Thursday 28 June 2012

Despite #SCOTUS Upholding ACA / Obamacare: The law won't last, is doomed to fail soon, expert warns!


Scott Rasmussen, writing for Rasmussen Reports at March 30, 2012, who's firm predicted two recent elections, has warned 'Obamacare' / Affordable Care Act supporters, the law won't last:

'If it gets past that hurdle, the law also could be ended by Election 2012. If a Republican president is elected, the GOP will almost certainly also win control of the Senate and retain control of the House. While the details might take time, a Republican sweep in November would ultimately end the Obama experiment.

But even if the law survives the Supreme Court and the next election, the clock will be ticking. Recent estimates suggest that the law would cause 11 million people to lose their employer-provided insurance and be forced onto a government-backed insurance plan. That's a problem because 77 percent of those who now have insurance rate their current coverage as good or excellent. Only 3 percent rate their coverage as poor. For most of the 11 million forced to change their insurance coverage then, it will be received as bad news and create a pool of vocally unhappy voters.

Additionally, the cost estimates for funding the program are likely to keep going up. Eighty-one percent of voters expect it to cost more than projected, and recent Congressional Budget Office estimates indicate voters are probably right. But it's not the narrow specifics and cost estimates that guarantee the ultimate demise of the president's health care plan. It's the fact that the law runs contrary to basic American values and perceptions.

This, then, is the third hurdle the law faces: Individual Americans recognize that they have more power as consumers than they do as voters. Their choices in a free market give them more control over the economic world than choosing one politician or another.

Seventy-six percent think they should have the right to choose between expensive insurance plans with low deductibles and low-cost plans with higher deductibles. A similar majority believes everyone should be allowed to choose between expensive plans that cover just about every imaginable medical procedure and lower-cost plans that cover a smaller number of procedures. All such choices would be banned under the current health care law.'

The Supreme Court upheld the Individual Mandate as a tax. This is a huge victory for Obama, and a talking point for conservatives desiring to repeal his law. Fred.Barbash 4:45 PM USA Time  for Reuters's Supreme Court Live Blog 'SUPREME COURT DECISIONS'  says that the court seems to have upheld the law under taxation, but disallowed it as commerce under the commerce clause, which does play a role for the future. According to Reuters's Reuters/Ipsos poll, 56 % of Americans Oppose Obama's Affordable Care Act, as 44% support it. 45% of Americans said they'd likely vote for a Candidate running on promises to repeal the law, versus 26% who would be less likely to vote for them. 

Earlier Today, France 24 staff, claimed, that a victory for Obama, in the Supreme Court, was the best option for Republicans, who could run on amongst other options: repealing the law.

Kennedy, joined Scalia, Alito and Thomas, in voting Obama's signature legislature unconstitutional, while Chief Justice Roberts and the majority upheld the controversial law.

The policy decisions, to force Catholics to buy coverage of drugs, which abort pre-implanted fetuses, and contraception, and sterilizing insurance will still likely be heard at a later stage, as it emerges from powers given Kathleen Sebelius Heath And Human Services Secretary, which she used to class these as Preventative health care. According to the United States Conference of Catholic Bishops, fertility is not a disease, but healthy, and thus the inclusion, is inconsistent. Catholics claim their First Amendment (Not an Amendment but a Constitutional Right, in international terminology) right to religious freedom, is being denied, as Catholics believe that direct involvement in a theological 'intrinsic' moral evil such as funding it, is a mortal sin. Catholics are excommunicated for abortions, including of pre-implanted embryos.

It seems, that CNN were taken aback by the ruling that the law was to be upheld. Reuters, who are live blogging the Event, noted that CNN had reported the result incorrectly, while giving their own view. It was later cleared up, that the Court had upheld the decision.

The case, before the Affordable Care Act, was the United States v. Alvarez which found that lying about receiving a military medal of honour, should not be a crime. The court, struck down the Stolen Valor Act, which Barack Obama had supported. The man who had been sentenced under it, had seemingly made no profit from his lies, meaning they could not be classed as fraudulent, but had instead been tried, under the broad definitions of the act, leading to criminal penalties. Justices, questioned whether lying about an adulterous affair, could next be made a crime.

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